After the Speeches (Gabriel Levin)

2009 June 25
by Alex

If anyone else is interested in writing a Guest Dichotomies, be in touch…

In Cairo, Barack Obama laid out his vision for the new Middle East. Its particulars were not new, but the idea of a President genuinely committed to comprehensive regional peace was. Obama laid out the path towards peace between Israel and the Palestinians. It was, as Alex rightly put it, an incrementalist approach. There was no comprehensive solution; just an idea of what the first steps needed to be and a vision of the future.

The government in Jerusalem panicked. They were stuck between a popular American President they needed and their own conservative base. On Sunday night, speaking from Bar Ilan in Ramat Gan, one of the biggest conservative institutions in Israel, Benjamin Netanyahu had a chance to respond to Obama’s historic Cairo speech.  Netanyahu embraced Obama’s vision of peace by extending his hand, his middle finger up. His big concession, the need for a Palestinian state, was something that every Israeli Prime Minister since…well, Netanyahu the first go round, had already acknowledged. In fact, Netanyahu’s great concession took Israel back to a more conservative place than it had been in a decade. The conditions Netanyahu laid down sent a clear message. There would be no serious peace talks and no Palestinian state.  As David Grossman wrote in his excellent peace in Haaretz, Netanyahu “did not lead Israel to a new future. He only collaborated with its old, familiar anxieties”. This, in itself, is not a surprise even if it was a disappointment. Netanyahu was never going to abandon the settlers. What was deeply dismaying however, was the positive response this speech got in Israel. Netanyahu’s popularity went up 16% after the speech. The erstwhile left wing Labor applauded a speech that they should have derided.

The idea that eventually both sides would get tired and eventually realise that peace was the only way forward has not come to fruition. Instead, we are moving backwards.  The Palestinians still seem bent on destroying Israel while complaining that Israel isn’t moving towards peace and Israel is more interested in excuses as to why it must confiscate more Palestinian land (“We can’t remove the settlements because of Iran, terrorism, and the rise in the price of shakshuka”).

So, what can Obama do? Obama must have been hoping that Netanyahu would reconstitute his government with Kadima (by staying mostly in the same place politically, Kadima has gone from centre -right, to centre, since its inception.)This didn’t happen and Netanyahu will now demand some Palestinian action in return for what he thinks was a large concession. (What the Palestinians can possibly offer after that speech eludes me.) What I think Obama will do is keep pressing gently on all sides. Little concession by little concession until something big happens-a Palestinian unity government, the fall of Likud, or something similar. Netanyahu has indicated that he will fight every incremental move towards genuine peace tooth and nail forcing Obama to use more political capital than he would like to accomplish very little. I still have some hope in Obama’s ability to force all sides towards some solution. However, I am a lot less hopeful after Netanyahu’s speech than I was a week ago.

21 Comments leave one →
2009 June 25

Gabriel, I have never found a convincing argument that explains how any Land for Peace solution could provide a lasting peace as advertised. After reading Alex’s and now your piece I still am left empty, without any real concept of how such a plan can make anything better for either the Palestinain Arabs OR the Israelis.

What is naive is the idea that the arab masses will ever be satisfied with some disjointed, inferior state, that, compared to Israel, is impoverished and weak. Also not taken into account in this proposal is assuming the arabs will forgo their primary motivation for opposing Israel in the first place: the Right of Arab Return to Israel proper to receive the land that they claim was stolen and still rightfully theirs. Also to be assumed: the Moslems who are currently living inside Israel would be willing to abandon all their religious claims and pledge allegiance to a Jewish State they feel took what rightfully and eternally should belong to them.

This doesn’t even take into account the logistics nightmare Israel will face, with obligations to provide water, rations and basic humanitarian assistance for a new Arab State that doesn’t even recognize the Jewish State’s right to exist and blames them for their hardships, while also dealing with the Arab’s right as an independent nation to acquire arms as they see fit.

Also, let us not forget that Israel will somehow have to expel by force about 300,000 Jews from Judea and Samaria before any of this is possible, and somehow find them appropriate housing in Israel proper. That is no easy or cheap undertaking to say the least, yet nobody has even bothered to discuss how this would be done.

I see no solution by this approach, just more of the same wrangling over hyporthetical impossibilities. If Israel is to succeed at creating peace with the arabs it will come from relocating the arabs to a viable country that shares their culture, identity, language, religion, and national pride. There is only one that has all this, and it’s Jordan, the country that already has a Palestinian majority in place, resources, and the land mass for them to live comfortably.

I can’t for the life of me understand why that discussion is not taking place among the political leaders of Israel, the United States and Jordan. Until it is, this is all just a waste of breath.

2009 June 25
Michael permalink

The world calls for a demilitarized Israel state. Perhaps this is the best way to handle the peace situation in the region. A demilitarized Palestinian State as well as Israel without massive weapons.

Then they can fight each other with their words. The world is tired of the pair of them acting like stupid children. All this for a god who doesn’t exist. Absolutely stupidity on not only the Israel’s but also the Muslim world…there is no god, so enjoy what time you have left of your lives. Grow up.

2009 June 25

“The Palestinians still seem bent on destroying Israel while complaining that Israel isn’t moving towards peace [...]“

… is the real glowing error that mars this otherwise fine piece.

After Cairo, people like Saeb Erekat were positively glowing with praise and excited at the prospects of restarting the negotiations, pledging they would keep their side of the bargain.

Well before Cairo, Hamas was already making somewhat different noises with regards to the acceptance of a Palestinian State along 1967 borders and long term peace through an Islamic Hudna.

Where are, at least for the moment, Hamas’ rockets or suicide bombings?
Do you also consider the many by and large peaceful Arab protests aimed at preventing further illegal land expropriations as a manifestation of the ‘desire to destroy Israel’? How about the legal actions, like the one against Veolia that was highly effective?

No, the Palestinians aren’t collectively and magically going to stick some flowers in their hair but your characterisation is dishonest and aimed at sharing the blame. But for the moment the intransigence is very much with the Israeli Government and if I go by what you write, the Israeli general public (many exceptions notwithstanding, of course).

2009 June 25
Gabriel permalink

“Well before Cairo, Hamas was already making somewhat different noises with regards to the acceptance of a Palestinian State along 1967 borders and long term peace through an Islamic Hudna.”

Israelis are strangely unwilling to trust Hamas. Not trying to destroy Israel for five years is not the same as accepting its right to be there. Hamas, at its foundation is about the destruction of Israel, so a random quote here or there from a Hamas man will not make much of a difference. There was a poll done by a Palestinian research company a while back that asked Palestinians something like “do you accept the idea of an Israeli state and Palestinian state living side by side?” and 52% of Palestinians said “no”. Even those who would agree to it would mostly insist on the right of return which just means the destruction of Israel through demography rather than military means.

“Also, let us not forget that Israel will somehow have to expel by force about 300,000 Jews from Judea and Samaria before any of this is possible, and somehow find them appropriate housing in Israel proper. That is no easy or cheap undertaking to say the least, yet nobody has even bothered to discuss how this would be done.”

Because it isn’t true. It’s becoming more and more difficult, but a large percentage of Israelis living in the West Bank live in areas that could be swapped for areas in Israel. If it came down to it, I am sure countries would help pay for the evacuation of settlers if Israel needed it. Anyway, what you suggest-a forced transfer of millions of people would be a lot harder. (and morally impossible to justify).

2009 June 25

On the RoR there must be wriggle room: ‘honouring’ it can mean a lot of things. It’s up to negotiators and the mediator Mitchell to try and reach a compromise.

The bland ‘they want this literally’ is another over-simplification. Like the Government, Hamas (for instance) seeks to maximise starting positions (you yourself have described the settlements as bargaining chips not long ago). RoR can be honoured in many ways, none of them satisfactory but put together they can form an acceptable package, without anywhere near meeting the demand of literal return of refugees and their descendants to their birthplaces.

Without talks, nothing can proceed and nothing will stop Israel from continuing to settle the WB. There is nothing or no-one that will stop it: Barak authorizes construction of 300 new homes in West Bank Ha’aretz.

I’m not so sure about the land swaps though: seems like an entirely new ball game with its own complications and much untested ground to be explored. Again, if Israel continues building, then even that becomes a pipe dream: how much of Israel proper do you want to swap? We’re almost playing G-d here…

2009 June 25

Gabriel, I’m not sure how it is immoral to transfer people a few miles to a completely viable state of, but is moral to stuff them into a disjointed, incongruous, and untenable state. I really think the idea of negotiated transfer is, in fact, the only moral solution.

As far as having the world pay to expel Jews, I fail to see that happening. I also cannot see a sectioned out confederation of villages that separate arab from Jew into some kind of geographic jigsaw puzzle working. Bad for everybody. It comes down to a population exchange, and that can be done morally. If the Palestinian/Jordanian Arabs on the West Bank are awarded full Jordanian citizenship, and are generously compensated for relocating, how can that be immoral? Is living in a refugee camp more moral? Is living as a nationless people longing in squaller for what never really was and what can never be healthy?

Conversely, if Israel does attempt to expel 300,000 Jews from Judea/Samaria they will face the real threat of a civil war, the formation of an armed and dangerous welfare state next to them, and 1.5 million arabs inside Israel that sympathizes with the Palestinian State’s grievances while not recognizing the Jewish State.

True morality is finding borders that work for BOTH peoples, not creating a lose/lose situation.

2009 June 25

Mad Zionist:

You’re essentially asking for the world to sanction moving a population the size of Flanders (Belgium), to pack their bags and move to another country, to humour the Walloons of Belgium. You can’t see how absurd that demand is and that the world, despite your rationalisations and protestations, will never accept that?

Where would it end? Countries and populations as a form of musical chairs?

Humouring demands for Arab transfer would be rewarding bad behaviour…

2009 June 25

Gert, this is hardly a normal situation and requires thinking outside of the conventional box. While all of us would love to have a simple cliche answer like “land for peace”, it doesn’t work that way. Think about transfer as relocation. Jews relocated by the tens of millions to Israel and America in the 20th century, today the arabs also seek to relocate to Israel by the millions while transferring a third of a million Jews out of Judea/Samaria, so if there is going to be any resolution to this conflict there WILL BE millions of people relocating no matter how you slice it.

I’m suggesting the relocation to happen on a path that makes sense for all sides, and for that to happen all roads lead to Jordan.

2009 June 26
Gabriel permalink

“True morality is finding borders that work for BOTH peoples, not creating a lose/lose situation.”

And expelling Palestinians from their homes makes sense for them???

2009 June 26

Gabriel, I gave you the courtesy of reading your entire post, so the least you could do is return the favor instead of using simplistic soundbites without the full context. You are smart enough to know my analysis runs much deeper than you are choosing to admit.

2009 June 26
nick permalink

“Gabriel, I’m not sure how it is immoral to transfer people a few miles to a completely viable state of, but is moral to stuff them into a disjointed, incongruous, and untenable state.”

Madzionist, how do expect people to engage you seriously when what you’re proposing is ethnic cleansing (which, before you say, rehousing of settlers isn’t equivalent to, although I’m not saying that that isn’t problematic either) on an extraordinary scale? Relocation is only appropriate as a benign, neutral term when there is consent. If you do think there should be consent before such a plan is implemented – as, to be fair, the “negotiated transfer” you also mention implies – it’s you who is naive. What evidence is there that the Palestian residents of the West Bank are amenable to such an idea? None.

As for the above dichotomy, and these ones:

“Is living in a refugee camp more moral? Is living as a nationless people longing in squaller for what never really was and what can never be healthy? ”

…they are, of course, completely false. Of course the latter is unacceptable, that’s why settlement building should cease and ultimately the majority of settlements in the West Bank be dismantled or exchanged for land in Israel. If you think the above formula naive, produce evidence to show the Palestinians would accept transfer voluntarily.

Also, you seem to speak a lot about what the Palestinian ‘masses’ believe / want, in perpetuity. What about the contradictions in what people believe in / identify with? What about the idea that with an incrementalist approach, greater economic / cultural cooperation / empowering moderates etc. these beliefs can change?

2009 June 26

Nick, why the hatred and disrespect for arabs? Treating them like savages incapable of intellectualizing a positive scenario insults them on levels that border on racism. You go through great pains to imply they don’t posses the “necessities” to understand the benefits of being rehoused east of the Jordan River, granted full Jordanian/Palestinian citizenship, compensated generously for undertaking the move to a nation of there own, a land where Palestinians already are the overwhelming majority where real and viable borders with all the resources necessary to succeed are already in place. This is a turnkey solution to terrible suffering on all sides.

Regarding your calls for incrementalism, I have no problem at all with that, provided it is incrementally moving towards a realistic conclusion that works. Incrementally going off a cliff, as your scenario for a disjointed, untenable jigsaw puzzle of a state would be akin to, makes absolutely no sense. Incrementally moving towards a scenario where all sides win certainly does, and the sooner you get it in your mind that a solution outside of your conventional, narrow minded box the sooner you will realize I’m the only person here actually offering a scenario that provides peace, security, prosperity, independence and dignity to all sides in the conflict.

2009 June 26

Mad Zionist:

“Think about transfer as relocation. Jews relocated by the tens of millions to Israel and America in the 20th century, today the arabs also seek to relocate to Israel by the millions while transferring a third of a million Jews out of Judea/Samaria, so if there is going to be any resolution to this conflict there WILL BE millions of people relocating no matter how you slice it.”

In 1947 – 1948 some 750,000 Palestinians were displaced under cover of war. Legally, as does any group that flees or is made to flee the theatre of war, they had the right to return after cessation of hostilities (see Article 49 of the Geneva Convention). This right was denied them. Today these people and their descendants are refugees, many (ironically) in refugee camps in the WB, others in refugee camps in Gaza, others in Jordan, Lebanon and Syria and have been for all that time (!).

In 1967 another 250,000 people befell the same fate and they too are still waiting to return to the places they were expelled from.

You now want to complete the job by semi-legal means and for faked pseudo-humanitarian reasons. It’s not gonna wash. Get over it.

2009 June 26

Jews have been known as the “wandering” people, and for good reason. They have always been forced to flee, as have many other hundreds of millions and billions of people due to war, persecution, fear, or the desire to escape tyranny for political freedom. America was built on people fleeing other nations under harsh circumstances, beginning with Britain’s tyranny, and remains such a destination today for millions of fleeing latinos.

400,000,000 people now live in America, most with heart wrenching stories of fleeing terrible situations in other nations. Should America offer its 400,000,000 people to return where they originally came, with reparations and rights as full citizens, plus the right to be housed in either the very homes they fled, or have a new one provided by the host government? Should I return to the Russian and Austrian towns where my family fled from and demand to be given back my rightful home?

No, it is preposterous. The fact is, you and every single person that agrees with you has abjectly failed to come up with a single scenario that allows all people in the conflict to have a viable, prosperous, independent nation of their own, with real borders, real resources, a true military, and enough land in which to dwell comfortably. I offer turnkey solutions for lasting peace, you offer perpetual misery out of personal pettiness, spite, and blood lust.

You obsessively seek to reap vengeance upon the Jews, make them suffer at any cost for all that they have done so wickedly. You want to take all they now have and possess and destroy it at any price, and why? Because you want a better life for those arabs whom you falsely claim to advocate for? No, not even a little. You advocate out of pure hatred and bitterness towards Jews, while the Palestinians are merely your prop, your tool, your toy to use in your personal quest to make the Jews pay in blood for how they have ruined the world as you see it.

If you honestly gave even a little bit of a damn about the Arabs you would feel ashamed of yourself for the way you are using and abusing them.

2009 June 26

Mad Zionist:

“You obsessively seek to reap vengeance upon the Jews, make them suffer at any cost for all that they have done so wickedly. You want to take all they now have and possess and destroy it at any price, and why? Because you want a better life for those arabs whom you falsely claim to advocate for? No, not even a little. You advocate out of pure hatred and bitterness towards Jews, while the Palestinians are merely your prop, your tool, your toy to use in your personal quest to make the Jews pay in blood for how they have ruined the world as you see it.”

When lazy Zionists run out of arguments, there’s always the doomsday weapon: pull the anti-Semitism card! (Except that that weapon nowadays always fizzles – yawn.)

Past Jewish suffering doesn’t absolve Zionists from their crimes, Mad Zionist. Increasingly your American brethren are beginning to see that too… Zionism’s free pass has expired.

You don’t need to make me aware of past persecution, tyranny, colonisation and imperialism: I’m a principled anti-colonialist, anti-racist and anti-imperialist, hell-bent on preventing more of the (past) same in the present and future.

BTW, the American population is about 300 million, not 400 million. Most are descendants of settlers and immigrants (and not actual immigrants) and enjoy full rights in that country. European immigration policy is very similar to American.

You huff and you puff…

2009 June 26
nick permalink

“Nick, why the hatred and disrespect for arabs? Treating them like savages incapable of intellectualizing a positive scenario insults them on levels that border on racism.”

Nice try – but I’m not going to take the bait. If you were to make the point that some on the left do deny the Palestinians agency in a way that is suspiciously close to paternalist racism, I would agree with you. However, there is nothing in what I said to justify accusing me of that. You however, refer to them as passive units to be acted on; speak, in essentialist terms, about what “arab masses” want / think. I imagine a few people can see the, shall we say, “inconsistency” in your thinking.

Again – show me the evidence that there is any current support for your proposals, given we accept that the Palestinians are full human beings like the rest of us capable of formulating and evaluating choices. If there is no support, how are they going to take place without massive ethnic cleansing?

All the narrow box stuff is a bit unfair. It’s precisely because I’m curious about your proposed solution that I ask you for evidence – any evidence – that it’s feasible. If no-one in the West Bank wants it to happen, how do you propose to implement it short of recapitulating Bosnia? Or have you not told them about your ideas yet?

2009 June 26

Nick, rational people are capable of understanding reason. Right now the Palestinians want to defeat Israel and replace it with Palestine. That will not happen. Very few are satisfied with a disjointed semi-state combining a chunk of West Bank, a section of Jerusalem and the separated sliver of Gaza, so clearly we need a better solution.

If my plan were to be seriously proposed by the powers that be I am quite confident it would be viewed as beneficial by most Palestinians and Israelis alike. It’s the Jordanian government that would understandably require the most convincing, which is why it would be my recommendation that the Israelis and Jordanians meet directly to begin discussions on how to make it work logistically and financially. The Jordanian army on the East Bank would be needed to help facilitate the move of their brethren on the West Bank for obvious reasons. It would have to come in stages, incrementally if you will, so that it doesn’t overwhelm the infrastructure.

Gaza would be the final piece. To relocate the Palestinians would require full cooperation from Egypt, Jordan and Israel alike, so all sides would need to be on the same page to make it work. It would not be easy, there would be those who would still fight any compromise among the ranks of the Palestinians and try to sabotage the process, so it would be absolutely critical to have Jordan and Egypt be completely on board to prevent such rogues from blowing up the process.

The first step is to begin dialog with both Jordan and the Palestinians in a giant, diplomatic summit. Unfortunately, no leaders have the courage to discuss anything more than the same failed, tired ideas that came out of Oslo over 20 years ago.

2009 June 26

Mad Zionist:

How could a country like Jordan with a population of just over 6 million be expected to absorb almost the same amount of people without this causing enormous strains on resources, not to mention enormous amounts of frayed nerves.

The essentialism Nick refers to applies also here: to many radical Zionists, Arabs are Arabs, without distinction between the various sub-groups. Jordanians may feel a degree of kinship with their Palestinian ‘brethren’ but only up to a point. Why should their country be made to pay the price of Zionism’s expansionist tendencies? Like I said above, it’s rewarding bad behaviour.

Zionism would feel forever emboldened by this ’success’. Isn’t the Promised Land supposed to “stretching from the Nile to the Euphrates, which today would take in a large chunk of Egypt, Israel and the occupied territories, the whole of Jordan, and a broad slice of western Iraq”, as Daniella Weiss points out?

2009 June 26

Gert, you are a cartoonish, run-of-the-mill, Judeophobe, who views Palestinian suffering as an activists tool for the collective punishment of Jews. Your total disregard for the well being of the Palestinians is embarassingly transparent. Yes, by all means just focus on punishing Zionists, be obsessed with it actually, and if a resolution to the conflict were to happen without the Jews or Palestinians suffering oppose it with great prejudice.

Tell the truth, Gert: Just the thought of harsh and brutal payback meted out against the Jews gives you serious wood.

2009 June 26

Mad Zionist:

I’ve often wondered how extremists like you sail through life without getting shipwrecked at the first cliff encountered or even during docking in your home harbour. I still don’t understand it.

You invert every truth going and somehow manage to keep your self-image intact.

You’re a walking parody. A movie about your life would be an extraordinary experience, I think.

Now please start writing letters to the powers that be, regarding your comprehensive peace plan for the Middle East. I know there are a few Israeli luminaries on the Hyper Far Right that would be right behind your effort. The fact that collectively these people get about 5 votes in ‘Liberal Israel’ shouldn’t deter you…

2009 June 27

>> I still have some hope in Obama’s ability to force all sides towards some solution.

It is soooooooo not gonna work out that way.

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